
Resilience Digest July’25

Iran – Israel conflict adds to the supply chain disruption, following the US tarrifs
In News Now
Israel-Iran Conflict and Its Impact on Energy Markets
Medium-term risk for Iran
Iran-Israel: 10% Oil Price Surge Hits Global Supply Chains | Supply Chain Magazine
Why
- Supply and price risks: Disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz can drive up energy prices and strain global supply chains, directly affecting production costs and planning.
- Geopolitics as a crisis factor: Companies must monitor critical routes and prepare for sudden sourcing and logistics shocks.
- Strengthening resilience strategies: Diversified suppliers, contingency plans and robust fallback scenarios ensure operational capability
What to Ask
- Do you have crisis scenarios in place for a disruption in global oil or gas flows due to geopolitical escalation in the Middle East?
- Do you systematically monitor your most critical transport routes to detect early warning signs of disruption or capacity issues?
- How resilient is your production and logistics planning to sudden surges in energy costs or supply bottlenecks?

Defense Budget: Laying the Groundwork for OPLAN
In News Now
EU facilitates armaments projects
Federal budget secures defense financing
The German defense budget change and its implications
Bundeswehr stellt »Operationsplan Deutschland« vor – DER SPIEGEL
Why
- Rising demand for coordination and digital tools:
Fast processes and agency-wide collaboration need digital platforms for control and decision-making. - Increasing strategic relevance of public authorities:
Federal, state and local bodies play a growing role in security planning, approvals and infrastructure. - Expanding competence and resource needs:
Stronger civil protection requires crisis skills, logistics know-how and clear public sector responsibilities.
What to Ask
- Are your authority’s approval and infrastructure planning processes already aligned with OPLAN-related priorities and fast-track defense procedures?
- How digitally supported is your coordination with other departments and military stakeholders for the implementation of defense-related infrastructure projects?
- Are your administrative departments like health authorities, public order offices, or civil engineering prepared for expanded roles in crisis and defense-related infrastructure planning?

Cybersecurity: New Threats from AI and Ransomware
In News Now
Stolen data as a business model
Crime-as-a-Service” and AI
Technical weaknesses and encryption protection
Why
- Increased risk of damage and liability due to data misuse: Stolen access data enables targeted attacks – demanding preventive risk assessments and data protection.
- Challenges for incident response and communication:
End-to-end encryption complicates investigations, requiring crisis teams to coordinate closely with CERTs and public authorities.
- Need for integrated crisis response plans: Cyber threats like outdated IT and AI-based attacks must be part of BCM and emergency planning.
What to Ask
- Are your IT and business continuity plans prepared for the specific risks posed by stolen credentials, social engineering, and AI-driven cyberattacks?
- Have you conducted a comprehensive assessment of technical vulnerabilities, including outdated systems and weak authentication practices?